As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 11.5% in Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___? — $67.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 11.5%.
Since May 26, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 11.0% and 31.0%. It opened at 26.5% and last traded at 11.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 11.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 11.5% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 11.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $12.6K | 18.7% |
| November 30, 2026 | 8¢ | 8.5% | — | $4.2K | 6.3% |
| October 31, 2026 | 2¢ | 2.4% | — | $3.6K | 5.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$67.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if https://x.com/elonmusk posts the listed term by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in main feed posts, quote posts, and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: H@perl1quid, for "Hyperliquid") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,739 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stingy-Faucet | Yes | 1,739 | $200 |
| Favorite-Coinsurance | No | 1,220 | $1.1K |
| Subdued-Revenant | No | 597 | $528 |
| First-Sphere | Yes | 540 | $62 |
| Tangible-Authority | No | 418 | $370 |
| Punctual-Sand | No | 333 | $294 |
| Advanced-Coverage | No | 233 | $206 |
| Unsung-Climb | Yes | 229 | $26 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 133 | $15 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | No | 96 | $85 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 01:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 12:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 10:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 01:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $10 |
| Oct 13, 05:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $8 |
| Oct 11, 05:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 10:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 04:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 08, 01:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $1 |
| Oct 08, 01:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 11.5%. Next is November 30, 2026 at 8.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-tweet-about-hyperliquid-by?via=bro
$67.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/elonmusk.
December 31, 2026, priced at 11.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.