Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 11.5% in Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___? — $67.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026
12%
A 11.5% price implies roughly a 12-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
December 31, 202611.5%
November 30, 20268.5%
Bid
11¢
Ask
12¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since May 26, 2026: 11.0% – 31.0% · Opened at 26.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?
Category
Crypto, hyperliquid, Tweet Markets, Crypto Culture
Scheduled end
January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET
Total volume
$67.2K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$1.3K
Markets
3
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026 — 11.5%
Resolution source
https://x.com/elonmusk

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 11.5%.

Since May 26, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 11.0% and 31.0%. It opened at 26.5% and last traded at 11.5%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202611.5%
Oct 15, 202611.5%
Oct 16, 202611.5%
Oct 18, 202611.5%
Oct 19, 202611.5%
Oct 20, 202611.5%
Oct 24, 202611.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31, 2026 is favored at 11.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 31, 202612¢11.5%—$12.6K18.7%
November 30, 20268¢8.5%—$4.2K6.3%
October 31, 20262¢2.4%—$3.6K5.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$67.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if https://x.com/elonmusk posts the listed term by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in main feed posts, quote posts, and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: H@perl1quid, for "Hyperliquid") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://x.com/elonmusk

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,739 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Stingy-FaucetYes1,739$200
Favorite-CoinsuranceNo1,220$1.1K
Subdued-RevenantNo597$528
First-SphereYes540$62
Tangible-AuthorityNo418$370
Punctual-SandNo333$294
Advanced-CoverageNo233$206
Unsung-ClimbYes229$26
Snappy-RoosterYes133$15
Arctic-KickoffNo96$85

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $288 at 96.0%BUY No — $141 at 94.0%BUY Yes — $100 at 15.2%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 01:58 AM ETNoBUY97.0%$2
Oct 21, 12:21 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$1
Oct 21, 10:00 AM ETNoBUY97.0%$5
Oct 19, 01:52 PM ETNoBUY97.0%$10
Oct 13, 05:35 PM ETNoSELL88.0%$8
Oct 11, 05:16 AM ETYesSELL3.0%$1
Oct 10, 10:27 PM ETYesSELL3.0%$0
Oct 09, 04:57 AM ETYesBUY3.2%$1
Oct 08, 01:08 AM ETNoBUY97.0%$1
Oct 08, 01:03 AM ETNoBUY89.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 11.5%. Next is November 30, 2026 at 8.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-tweet-about-hyperliquid-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___??

$67.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.

When does Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/elonmusk.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, 2026, priced at 11.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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