As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 52.0% in Will Ethereal launch a token by ___? — $16.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 52.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: -3.5 pts.
Since May 20, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 16.5% and 82.0%. It opened at 40.5% and last traded at 52.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 52.0% |
June 30, 2027 is favored at 52.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 52¢ | 52.0% | -0.5 pts | $7.9K | 49.2% |
| December 31, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.0% | -25.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| March 31, 2027 | 50¢ | 49.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| September 30, 2027 | 50¢ | 49.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| December 31, 2026 | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $3.4K | 21.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 51¢ / ask 53¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ethereal officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Ethereal will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/etherealdex
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 77 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 77 | $40 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 64 | $33 |
| Threadbare-Stand | No | 60 | $29 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 54 | $26 |
| alts4life | Yes | 36 | $19 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 35 | $17 |
| Wet-Event | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Known-Use | No | 15 | $7 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | No | 15 | $7 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow | No | 15 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 05:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $6 |
| Oct 19, 05:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $4 |
| Oct 19, 05:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 50.0% | $3 |
| Oct 19, 05:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $3 |
| Oct 19, 05:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 52.0% | $3 |
| Oct 17, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $8 |
| Oct 17, 11:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 47.0% | $14 |
| Oct 17, 01:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 40.2% | $20 |
| Oct 17, 12:45 AM ET | No | SELL | 47.0% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 12:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $46 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 52.0%. Next is December 31, 2027 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ethereal-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$16.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/etherealdex.
June 30, 2027, priced at 52.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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