As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $3,000 at 70.0% in Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? — $114.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $3,000, is priced at 70.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: +0.5 pts; past month: +17.0 pts.
Since March 11, 2026, $3,000 has traded between 43.5% and 88.5%. It opened at 57.0% and last traded at 70.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 70.0% |
$3,000 is favored at 70.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3,000 | 70¢ | 70.0% | -2.5 pts | $114.8K | 100.0% |
| $1,000 | 30¢ | 30.0% | +2.5 pts | $114.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 26¢ / ask 34¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$114.8K has been traded on this event in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to the lower price in the title if Ethereum’s price dips to that level or below before it hits the higher title price between the creation of this market and December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. It will resolve to the higher price in the title if Ethereum’s price first reaches that level or above before it dips to the lower title price during the same period. If neither price level is reached within the market timeframe, the market will resolve 50–50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "High" and "Low" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Resolution source: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 19,885 shares of $3,000.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overlooked-Leverage | $3,000 | 19,885 | $13.9K |
| Hasty-Saucer | $3,000 | 5,500 | $3.9K |
| Weak-Path | $1,000 | 5,113 | $1.5K |
| Prestigious-Trinket | $1,000 | 4,200 | $1.3K |
| Square-Crystal | $1,000 | 3,894 | $1.2K |
| Belated-Meringue | $1,000 | 3,781 | $1.1K |
| Kaleidoscopic-Heater | $3,000 | 3,667 | $2.6K |
| Faint-Pony | $1,000 | 3,152 | $946 |
| Subdued-Revenant | $1,000 | 2,943 | $883 |
| Complex-Tophat | $1,000 | 2,225 | $667 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:46 AM ET | $1,000 | BUY | 30.0% | $371 |
| Oct 22, 06:20 PM ET | $3,000 | SELL | 70.0% | $329 |
| Oct 22, 01:29 AM ET | $3,000 | BUY | 75.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 06:50 PM ET | $3,000 | SELL | 68.6% | $305 |
| Oct 21, 09:50 AM ET | $1,000 | BUY | 30.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 05:16 PM ET | $1,000 | BUY | 34.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 04:05 PM ET | $3,000 | BUY | 74.0% | $599 |
| Oct 16, 04:05 PM ET | $3,000 | BUY | 71.0% | $74 |
| Oct 15, 04:04 PM ET | $3,000 | SELL | 64.5% | $17 |
| Oct 15, 04:03 PM ET | $3,000 | BUY | 76.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $3,000 at 70.0%. Next is $1,000 at 30.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ethereum-hit-1k-or-3k-first?via=bro
$114.8K in total volume, with $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.
$3,000, priced at 70.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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