As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price September 30, 2027 at 74.0% in Will Flop launch a token by ___? — $20.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, September 30, 2027, is priced at 74.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: -6.5 pts; past month: -6.0 pts.
Since August 19, 2026, September 30, 2027 has traded between 43.5% and 88.5%. It opened at 62.5% and last traded at 74.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 74.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 74.0% |
September 30, 2027 is favored at 74.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2027 | 74¢ | 74.0% | +1.5 pts | $3.0K | 14.9% |
| December 31, 2027 | 72¢ | 72.0% | +1.5 pts | $3.3K | 16.5% |
| June 30, 2027 | 72¢ | 71.5% | — | $1.6K | 7.8% |
| March 31, 2027 | 55¢ | 55.0% | -2.5 pts | $1.5K | 7.5% |
| December 31, 2026 | 22¢ | 22.0% | — | $3.6K | 17.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 67¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20.1K has been traded on this event in total, $94 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flop officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Flop after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Flop (https://x.com/flop_labs), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/flop_labs
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grumpy-Modification | Yes | 100 | $74 |
| Subdued-Revenant | Yes | 79 | $58 |
| Few-Prevention | No | 75 | $19 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 66 | $17 |
| Prudent-Realization-Farrow | No | 62 | $16 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 37 | $10 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 34 | $26 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 30 | $22 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 24 | $18 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 20 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 09:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $13 |
| Oct 17, 08:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $6 |
| Oct 17, 08:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $9 |
| Oct 15, 11:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 05:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 17.0% | $4 |
| Oct 13, 03:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $6 |
| Oct 12, 01:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $11 |
| Oct 12, 11:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $5 |
| Oct 12, 10:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $6 |
| Oct 12, 10:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is September 30, 2027 at 74.0%. Next is December 31, 2027 at 72.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-flop-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$20.1K in total volume, with $94 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/flop_labs.
September 30, 2027, priced at 74.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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