Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 62.5% in Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026? — $2.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $21.
Leading outcome
No
62%
A 62.5% price implies roughly a 62-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −4.0 pts30D +4.0 pts
No62.5%
Yes37.5%
Bid
36¢
Ask
39¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since July 08, 2026: 44.5% – 78.0% · Opened at 45.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?
Category
Florida, Politics, Elections, referendum, deprec USA Election, Florida Midterm, US Election
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.9K
Volume (24h)
$21
Liquidity
$22.0K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 62.5%
Resolution source
https://dos.fl.gov/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 62.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -4.0 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.

Since July 08, 2026, No has traded between 44.5% and 78.0%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 62.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202660.5%
Oct 18, 202662.0%
Oct 19, 202660.5%
Oct 20, 202660.0%
Oct 23, 202662.0%
Oct 24, 202662.0%
Oct 24, 202662.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 62.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No62¢62.5%—$2.9K100.0%
Yes38¢37.5%—$2.9K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 36¢ / ask 39¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.9K has been traded on this event in total, $21 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Florida Amendment 3, also referred to as "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" and the "Homestead Tax Exemptions, Property Assessments, and Spending Restrictions Amendment" is a Florida legislatively referred constitutional amendment currently scheduled for voting as a ballot measure on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Florida required for it to pass at the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Florida, including the Florida Department of State (https://dos.fl.gov/).

Resolution source: https://dos.fl.gov/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 340 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Chubby-PriorNo340$212
Vivacious-FondueYes258$97
Rough-DimpleYes116$43
Belated-GlueYes81$30
Primary-AgentNo50$31
Tricky-UsherNo50$31
Legitimate-Monitor-SoyNo33$20
Oddball-PoisonYes30$11
Puzzling-HaversackYes20$8
Amazing-PadYes20$8

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $46 at 61.0%BUY Yes — $39 at 39.0%BUY No — $32 at 63.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 10:01 AM ETNoBUY64.0%$13
Oct 23, 06:40 AM ETYesSELL43.0%$3
Oct 23, 06:40 AM ETNoBUY57.0%$1
Oct 23, 04:35 AM ETYesBUY28.0%$6
Oct 22, 04:50 PM ETYesBUY40.0%$20
Oct 22, 02:21 PM ETYesBUY39.0%$8
Oct 22, 02:21 PM ETYesBUY38.0%$21
Oct 22, 09:45 AM ETNoBUY63.0%$32
Oct 22, 08:49 AM ETNoBUY63.0%$19
Oct 21, 12:32 PM ETNoBUY62.0%$12

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 62.5%. Next is Yes at 37.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-floridas-save-our-homes-from-excessive-property-taxes-referendum-pass-in-november-2026-20260708194332212?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026??

$2.9K in total volume, with $21 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://dos.fl.gov/.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 62.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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