As of October 24, 2026, 09:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 73.0% in Will FURIA Make a Roster Change by December 31? — $426 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 73.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -8.0 pts; past month: -6.5 pts.
Since August 17, 2026, Yes has traded between 63.0% and 85.0%. It opened at 64.5% and last traded at 73.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.0% |
Yes is favored at 73.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73¢ | 73.0% | +1.0 pts | $426 | 100.0% |
| No | 27¢ | 27.0% | -1.0 pts | $426 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 72¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$426 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
Polymarket lists no fixed end date for this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves FURIA's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of FURIA" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: YEKINDAR, KSCERATO, molodoy, yuurih, falleN. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 81 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rusty-Favorite | Yes | 81 | $59 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 25 | $7 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 20 | $5 |
| Past-Disguise | No | 20 | $5 |
| Humming-Bamboo | No | 16 | $4 |
| 0x6a240773… | No | 11 | $3 |
| Strong-Liquid | Yes | 10 | $7 |
| Mortified-Wetland | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:34 PM ET | No | SELL | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 01:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $14 |
| Oct 21, 09:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 74.0% | $8 |
| Oct 19, 03:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.0% | $8 |
| Sep 19, 05:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $52 |
| Sep 17, 03:35 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 79.0% | $8 |
| Sep 06, 05:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 44.0% | $5 |
| Aug 19, 09:44 AM ET | No | SELL | 24.0% | $5 |
| Aug 18, 11:55 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 84.8% | $17 |
| Aug 18, 06:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 34.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 73.0%. Next is No at 27.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-furia-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31?via=bro
$426 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
It resolves based on https://www.hltv.org/team/8297/furia#tab-rosterBox.
Yes, priced at 73.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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