As of October 24, 2026, 07:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↓1.30 at 46.5% in Will GBP/USD hit __ in 2026? — $62.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↓1.30, is priced at 46.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.5 pts; past week: -2.5 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since February 06, 2026, ↓1.30 has traded between 38.0% and 92.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 45.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 47.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 44.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 45.5% |
↓1.30 is favored at 46.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓1.30 | 46¢ | 46.5% | +2.5 pts | $2.4K | 3.9% |
| ↑1.40 | 44¢ | 43.5% | +2.5 pts | $18 | 0.0% |
| ↓1.25 | 33¢ | 33.0% | — | $37.6K | 60.2% |
| ↓1.20 | 22¢ | 22.0% | — | $173 | 0.3% |
| ↑1.45 | 14¢ | 14.5% | +1.0 pts | $3.6K | 5.8% |
| ↓1.10 | 14¢ | 13.5% | +0.5 pts | $129 | 0.2% |
| ↑1.55 | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $204 | 0.3% |
| ↑1.50 | 12¢ | 12.5% | +0.5 pts | $86 | 0.1% |
| ↑1.60 | 10¢ | 10.0% | -0.2 pts | $15.1K | 24.2% |
| ↑1.70 | 8¢ | 8.3% | +0.2 pts | $1.4K | 2.3% |
| ↓1.00 | 4¢ | 4.3% | +1.8 pts | $1.7K | 2.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 61¢ (bid 16¢ / ask 77¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$62.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any GBP/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized GBP/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the GBP/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart).
Resolution source: https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Previous-Seafood | Yes | 100 | $46 |
| Flimsy-Hydrolysis | No | 100 | $54 |
| Naive-Instrumentation | Yes | 69 | $32 |
| Short-Term-Modernist | No | 60 | $32 |
| Ethical-Reception | No | 44 | $23 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 29 | $13 |
| Capital-Eviction | No | 10 | $6 |
| Bouncy-Saving | No | 10 | $5 |
| Forked-Unemployment | Yes | 7 | $3 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 6 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 08, 05:48 PM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $57 |
| Oct 02, 04:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $11 |
| Sep 30, 02:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $17 |
| Sep 22, 10:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Sep 18, 11:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $1 |
| Sep 18, 09:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Sep 18, 04:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Sep 17, 05:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $2 |
| Sep 15, 05:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $25 |
| Sep 14, 07:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.6% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↓1.30 at 46.5%. Next is ↑1.40 at 43.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gbpusd-hit-in-2026?via=bro
$62.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 30, 2026, 07:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.investing.com/currencies/gbp-usd-chart.
↓1.30, priced at 46.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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