As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 99.4% in Will GTA 6 cost $100+? — $448.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 99.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.7 pts; past week: -1.1 pts; past month: -1.8 pts.
Since February 10, 2026, No has traded between 51.5% and 98.9%. It opened at 53.5% and last traded at 98.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.9% |
No is favored at 99.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99¢ | 99.4% | +0.7 pts | $448.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.7 pts | $448.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 1¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$448.0K has been traded on this event in total, $8.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard edition of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA 6) launches at $100.00 or more. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the pre-tax launch price in USD of the standard edition of GTA 6 on Xbox or PlayStation as listed on the Microsoft Store or PlayStation Store on the first official day of its release in the United States. If the price differs between the Microsoft and PlayStation stores, this market will resolve according to the lower price. This market will resolve based on the lowest price version that includes the full standard game with no DLC, etc. If GTA 6 is not released or release is otherwise delayed beyond February 28, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the Microsoft Store/PlayStation Store, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 13,400 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prudent-Foam | No | 13,400 | $13.3K |
| 0x0f3433d8… | Yes | 10,136 | $61 |
| Opulent-Licence | No | 8,742 | $8.7K |
| Violet-Mercury | No | 6,130 | $6.1K |
| Cheery-Preparation | No | 5,639 | $5.6K |
| Wooden-Chime | No | 3,581 | $3.6K |
| Scholarly-Passage | No | 3,236 | $3.2K |
| Wobbly-Chain | No | 3,229 | $3.2K |
| Mealy-Gherkin-Compliment | Yes | 3,226 | $19 |
| Natural-Gear | No | 2,718 | $2.7K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:48 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.7% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.7% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 0.7% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.7% | $22 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 99.4%. Next is Yes at 0.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gta-6-cost-100-245?via=bro
$448.0K in total volume, with $8.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 99.4% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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