As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 14.0% in Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...? — $101.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 14.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -12.0 pts; past month: -5.5 pts.
Since July 01, 2026, December 31 has traded between 14.0% and 91.5%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 14.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 26.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 21.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 19.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 14.0% |
December 31 is favored at 14.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 14¢ | 14.0% | — | $11.4K | 11.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 17¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$101.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Colombian President Gustavo Petro by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,061 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Angry-Evaluation | No | 2,061 | $1.8K |
| Stunning-Headquarters | Yes | 2,000 | $280 |
| Subtle-Fencing | Yes | 1,383 | $194 |
| Raw-Contributor | No | 1,148 | $987 |
| Wilted-Burden-Survivor | No | 520 | $447 |
| Key-Wildlife | Yes | 388 | $54 |
| Electric-Architect | No | 302 | $259 |
| Watery-Snowsuit-Gripper | Yes | 263 | $37 |
| Daring-Pirate | No | 243 | $209 |
| Dirty-Petition | Yes | 182 | $25 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 01:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $17 |
| Oct 22, 01:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 01:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 01:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $19 |
| Oct 22, 01:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 02:50 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 12:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $12 |
| Oct 20, 11:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.8% | $21 |
| Oct 20, 09:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 76.0% | $18 |
| Oct 20, 04:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.4% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 14.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gustavo-petro-be-charged-in-the-us-by-april-30?via=bro
$101.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 14.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.