Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 72.5% in Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026? — $371 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $171.
Leading outcome
No
72%
A 72.5% price implies roughly a 72-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +2.0 pts
No72.5%
Yes27.5%
Bid
25¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
5¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 23, 2026: 66.0% – 72.5% · Opened at 66.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026?
Category
AI, Tech, Hochul, states, Compute, New York, Politics, AI Regulation
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$371
Volume (24h)
$171
Liquidity
$20.7K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 72.5%
Resolution source
https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/bills/2025/S10642

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 72.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts.

Since October 23, 2026, No has traded between 66.0% and 72.5%. It opened at 66.0% and last traded at 72.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 72.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No72¢72.5%-2.0 pts$371100.0%
Yes28¢27.5%+2.0 pts$371100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 30¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$371 has been traded on this event in total, $171 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York Governor Kathy Hochul signs the Responsible Data Center Development Act (A11560/S10642) into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A signature made on the condition that the Legislature later amends the bill will count. The primary resolution source is the New York State Senate's legislation tracker (https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/bills/2025/S10642) and other official information from the government of New York, however other credible reporting may be used.

Resolution source: https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/bills/2025/S10642

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 60 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Sardonic-CueYes60$17
Insidious-MeteorNo20$15
Evil-RowNo20$14
Direct-ChainstayNo20$14
Plump-ImplementationYes14$4
Belated-GlueNo10$7
Known-UseNo10$7
0x93e15f3f…Yes8$2
Outrageous-SweatshopNo3$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $26 at 65.5%BUY Yes — $16 at 26.0%SELL No — $15 at 76.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:40 PM ETNoSELL76.7%$15
Oct 24, 12:43 PM ETYesBUY25.0%$2
Oct 24, 10:38 AM ETNoBUY73.0%$15
Oct 24, 10:07 AM ETNoBUY74.0%$2
Oct 24, 04:16 AM ETNoBUY71.0%$14
Oct 24, 04:16 AM ETYesSELL31.0%$6
Oct 24, 02:56 AM ETYesBUY25.0%$5
Oct 24, 02:02 AM ETYesBUY24.0%$5
Oct 24, 02:02 AM ETYesBUY25.0%$5
Oct 23, 09:54 PM ETNoSELL68.0%$7

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 72.5%. Next is Yes at 27.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-hochul-sign-the-data-center-moratorium-bill-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026??

$371 in total volume, with $171 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/bills/2025/S10642.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 72.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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