As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price March 31, 2027 at 50.0% in Will Hotstuff launch a token by ___? — $19.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, March 31, 2027, is priced at 50.0%.
Since May 20, 2026, March 31, 2027 has traded between 40.5% and 50.0%. It opened at 40.5% and last traded at 50.0%.
March 31, 2027 is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| September 30, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| December 31, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| June 30, 2027 | 25¢ | 25.0% | -7.5 pts | $8.2K | 42.6% |
| December 31, 2026 | 14¢ | 14.5% | +2.5 pts | $7.3K | 37.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 88¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.2K has been traded on this event in total, $1.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hotstuff officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Hotstuff will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Hotstuff (https://x.com/tradehotstuff), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:42 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 04:42 PM ET | No | SELL | 84.0% | $42 |
| Oct 24, 03:29 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.5% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $199 |
| Oct 24, 06:19 AM ET | No | SELL | 69.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is March 31, 2027 at 50.0%. Next is September 30, 2027 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-hotstuff-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$19.2K in total volume, with $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
March 31, 2027, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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