As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.3% in Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? — $276.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: -0.1 pts; past month: -2.8 pts.
Since April 28, 2026, No has traded between 75.0% and 98.5%. It opened at 86.5% and last traded at 98.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.3% |
No is favored at 98.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.3% | +0.2 pts | $276.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.2 pts | $276.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$276.7K has been traded on this event in total, $921 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of HYPE (HYPE) surpasses that of Solana (SOL) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/solana, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 16,494 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offbeat-Thesis | No | 16,494 | $16.2K |
| Old-Chasuble | Yes | 10,750 | $183 |
| Worldly-Dump | Yes | 9,419 | $160 |
| Crooked-Building | No | 9,141 | $9.0K |
| 0x51b5a0c12bf89886c79723a0a5cec00404772ef4 | No | 6,736 | $6.6K |
| Giant-Flugelhorn | No | 4,574 | $4.5K |
| Unkempt-Exploration | No | 4,434 | $4.4K |
| Villainous-Panpipe | Yes | 2,598 | $44 |
| Obvious-Remnant | Yes | 2,549 | $43 |
| Rich-Try | No | 2,516 | $2.5K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.4% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $690 |
| Oct 24, 05:56 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $99 |
| Oct 23, 08:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.8% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 03:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.7% | $536 |
| Oct 22, 03:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.4% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 04:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.3% | $238 |
| Oct 21, 10:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.3% | $12 |
| Oct 21, 10:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.3%. Next is Yes at 1.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-hype-flip-sol-by-december-31?via=bro
$276.7K in total volume, with $921 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid.
No, priced at 98.3% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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