As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 13.0% in Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...? — $91.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 13.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -2.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 5.5% and 28.0%. It opened at 8.5% and last traded at 13.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 8.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 13.0% |
June 30, 2027 is favored at 13.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 13¢ | 13.0% | -0.5 pts | $3.7K | 4.1% |
| December 31, 2026 | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.2 pts | $87.3K | 95.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 12¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$91.1K has been traded on this event in total, $15.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rep. Ilhan Omar is officially deported from the United States by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Omar from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count. A removal order that has not been implemented will not be sufficient to resolve this market. The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,117 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Careful-Semantics | Yes | 1,117 | $145 |
| Prickly-Signup | No | 919 | $800 |
| Peppery-Capital | No | 539 | $469 |
| Canine-Insolence | Yes | 500 | $65 |
| Medical-Wrapping | No | 244 | $212 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 188 | $24 |
| Known-Use | No | 149 | $130 |
| Black-And-White-Programming | Yes | 125 | $16 |
| Flat-Badger | No | 116 | $101 |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 108 | $14 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.1% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.1% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 09:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $95 |
| Oct 24, 09:12 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 09:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $190 |
| Oct 24, 07:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.1% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.1% | $200 |
| Oct 24, 07:29 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $610 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 13.0%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ilhan-omar-be-deported-in-2026?via=bro
$91.1K in total volume, with $15.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
June 30, 2027, priced at 13.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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