As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 58.0% in Will Israel annex any territory by...? — $538.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 58.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: +45.0 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 13.0% and 54.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 54.5%.
June 30, 2027 is favored at 58.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 58¢ | 58.0% | +4.0 pts | $1 | 0.0% |
| March 31, 2027 | 56¢ | 56.0% | +3.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| December 31, 2026 | 9¢ | 9.3% | +4.2 pts | $97.6K | 18.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 72¢ (bid 22¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$538.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 1 | $1 |
| Euphoric-Sushi-Modem | No | 1 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 12:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.4% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 05:29 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.5% | $19 |
| Oct 20, 04:42 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $26 |
| Oct 20, 04:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $17 |
| Oct 20, 04:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $13 |
| Oct 19, 12:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 12:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 12:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $203 |
| Oct 16, 04:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 58.0%. Next is March 31, 2027 at 56.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-annex-any-territory-by-december-31?via=bro
$538.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
June 30, 2027, priced at 58.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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