As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.0% in Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? — $92.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.8 pts; past week: +1.0 pts; past month: -0.5 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 64.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 76.5% and last traded at 95.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.8% |
No is favored at 95.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 95.0% | -0.8 pts | $92.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 5.0% | +0.8 pts | $92.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 6¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$92.7K has been traded on this event in total, $222 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,478 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bleak-Full | No | 6,478 | $6.2K |
| Illustrious-Spectacles | No | 3,928 | $3.7K |
| Sleepy-Equality | Yes | 3,505 | $175 |
| Round-Volatility | Yes | 2,648 | $132 |
| Open-Plantation | Yes | 1,105 | $55 |
| Illustrious-Greens | Yes | 859 | $43 |
| Considerate-Expression | Yes | 808 | $40 |
| Smoggy-Cover | Yes | 608 | $30 |
| Exotic-Prize | No | 549 | $521 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 458 | $23 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.1% | $211 |
| Oct 23, 05:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $3 |
| Oct 15, 06:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 07:38 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $5 |
| Oct 13, 03:41 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 03:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 01:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.0% | $10 |
| Oct 03, 08:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.1% | $52 |
| Oct 03, 12:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $19 |
| Oct 03, 06:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.0%. Next is Yes at 5.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-annex-west-bank-territory-before-2027?via=bro
$92.7K in total volume, with $222 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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