As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 94.3% in Will Israel election happen as scheduled? — $161.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 94.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.4 pts; past week: +5.7 pts; past month: -1.2 pts.
Since July 20, 2026, Yes has traded between 77.3% and 97.2%. It opened at 94.0% and last traded at 94.3%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 88.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 94.3% |
Yes is favored at 94.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 94¢ | 94.3% | +1.4 pts | $161.9K | 100.0% |
| No | 6¢ | 5.7% | -1.4 pts | $161.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 94¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$161.8K has been traded on this event in total, $11.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if general voting in the election for the 26th Knesset takes place in Israel on October 27, 2026. For the purposes of this market, "general voting" means nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. This market will still resolve to "Yes" if voting is postponed, cancelled, or disrupted in a limited number of individual localities or polling stations, so long as nationwide voting proceeds on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "No" if nationwide Knesset voting occurs before October 27, 2026 (e.g., due to a snap election), or October 27, 2026 passes without nationwide Knesset voting having occurred (e.g., due to nationwide postponement). Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the date of general election-day voting counts. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 45,971 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Whimsical-Terminal | Yes | 45,971 | $43.4K |
| Internal-Clank | No | 8,878 | $506 |
| Dishonest-Timeout | Yes | 8,543 | $8.1K |
| Ugly-Stance | Yes | 7,934 | $7.5K |
| Scratchy-Nucleotidase-Pantologist | No | 7,122 | $406 |
| Cute-Psychiatrist | No | 5,720 | $326 |
| Prime-Basis | Yes | 5,398 | $5.1K |
| Gaseous-Visit-Duckling | No | 4,640 | $264 |
| Impressionable-Mailbox | No | 4,262 | $243 |
| Growling-Ambulance | No | 4,084 | $233 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:53 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 94.3% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 6.4% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 05:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 5.9% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 6.3% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 6.3% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 5.5% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 02:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 4.5% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 6.3% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 94.3%. Next is No at 5.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-israel-election-happen-as-scheduled-20260720204824362?via=bro
$161.8K in total volume, with $11.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 94.3% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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