As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price April 30 at 80.8% in Will Jack Doherty post again on X by...? — $11.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, April 30, is priced at 80.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: -10.7 pts.
Since October 12, 2026, April 30 has traded between 80.7% and 95.3%. It opened at 94.5% and last traded at 80.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 93.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 92.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 92.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 80.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 80.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.8% |
April 30 is favored at 80.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 30 | 81¢ | 80.8% | +0.1 pts | $481 | 4.2% |
| October 31 | 5¢ | 4.5% | -5.9 pts | $11.0K | 95.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 80¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$11.5K has been traded on this event in total, $4.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jack Doherty posts again on X between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Posts include any post, repost, quote post, or reply. The resolution source for this market is Jack Doherty's official X profile: https://x.com/dohertyjackk, including any successor names for the account. Posts from any other account will not qualify.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 32 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 32 | $26 |
| Dirty-Sigh | No | 27 | $5 |
| Political-Prison | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Perfumed-Moat | No | 20 | $4 |
| Irresponsible-Chord-Hunter | No | 16 | $3 |
| Creamy-Geology | Yes | 10 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:02 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.1% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 05:01 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.6% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.7% | $95 |
| Oct 24, 05:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.1% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 05:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.7% | $379 |
| Oct 24, 11:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.5% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 10:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 84.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 05:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $42 |
| Oct 24, 05:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.0% | $150 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is April 30 at 80.8%. Next is October 31 at 4.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jack-doherty-post-again-on-x-by?via=bro
$11.5K in total volume, with $4.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
April 30, priced at 80.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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