As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 90.0% in Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026? — $16.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 90.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -2.5 pts; past month: -6.5 pts.
Since March 11, 2026, No has traded between 69.5% and 94.5%. It opened at 72.5% and last traded at 90.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 90.0% |
No is favored at 90.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90¢ | 90.0% | — | $16.5K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 10¢ | 10.0% | — | $16.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.5K has been traded on this event in total, $30 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jake Paul announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Jake Paul; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,485 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Well-Documented-Nick | Yes | 2,485 | $248 |
| siick | No | 2,391 | $2.2K |
| Crooked-Building | No | 849 | $764 |
| Outgoing-Bite | No | 740 | $666 |
| Unhealthy-Reboot | Yes | 676 | $68 |
| Disguised-Spider | No | 600 | $540 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 543 | $489 |
| Tired-Door | Yes | 504 | $50 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Yes | 293 | $29 |
| Boring-Avalanche | Yes | 265 | $27 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 05:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 03:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 02:29 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $9 |
| Oct 17, 02:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $9 |
| Oct 05, 01:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $329 |
| Oct 05, 01:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 74.0% | $6 |
| Sep 29, 10:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $35 |
| Sep 28, 02:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $36 |
| Sep 24, 04:12 AM ET | No | SELL | 74.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 90.0%. Next is Yes at 10.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jake-paul-announce-a-run-for-public-office-in-2026?via=bro
$16.5K in total volume, with $30 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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