As of October 24, 2026, 08:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.4% in Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027? — $5.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.8 pts; past week: +1.9 pts; past month: +1.1 pts.
Since July 31, 2026, No has traded between 81.0% and 99.3%. It opened at 83.0% and last traded at 97.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 99.2% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 99.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 99.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 99.3% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 99.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.3% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.2% |
No is favored at 97.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.4% | -0.8 pts | $5.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.6% | +0.8 pts | $5.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.4K has been traded on this event in total, $205 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Jannik Sinner's official ATP singles ranking points total reaches or exceeds 15,000 at any point on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". "ATP ranking points" refers to Sinner's total points as shown in his official ATP singles ranking (the rolling 52-week total) in any official weekly ranking update published on or before December 31, 2026. If any single official ranking release during this period shows Sinner with 15,000 or more points, this market resolves "Yes." The points total is measured strictly from the official ATP singles rankings, not the "Race to Turin" standings, live rankings, or any projected or unofficial total. The primary resolution source will be the official ATP singles rankings published at atptour.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,317 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barren-Sleuth | No | 1,317 | $1.3K |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 500 | $13 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 496 | $13 |
| Submissive-Clan | No | 433 | $421 |
| Superior-Format | Yes | 333 | $9 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 300 | $8 |
| Unique-Primary | No | 223 | $217 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 204 | $5 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 176 | $5 |
| Eager-Research | Yes | 150 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:39 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 04:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 04:37 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.2% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 03:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.3% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 03:40 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.1% | $132 |
| Oct 15, 03:39 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.2% | $7 |
| Oct 14, 04:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.7% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 03:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.3% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.4%. Next is Yes at 2.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jannik-sinner-have-15000-atp-points-before-2027-20260731033231532?via=bro
$5.4K in total volume, with $205 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.4% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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