As of October 24, 2026, 08:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 80.0% in Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader? — $2.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 80.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -5.0 pts; past month: +15.5 pts.
Since September 15, 2026, Yes has traded between 47.0% and 87.5%. It opened at 55.5% and last traded at 80.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.0% |
Yes is favored at 80.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80¢ | 80.0% | — | $2.9K | 100.0% |
| No | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $2.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 79¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Jordan publicly announces that he is seeking to become the highest-ranking Republican in the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that convenes in January 2027, at any point between market creation and the date the House Republican Conference elects its top leader for that Congress. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, a person will run to be the "highest-ranking Republican" if they are running for either Speaker of the House or, if that is not applicable, the top leader of the House Republican Conference (usually the Minority Leader). A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine, and third-party speculation or reports that Jim Jordan may run absent an announcement by him, will not count. Once a qualifying announcement has been made within the market's time frame, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether Jim Jordan subsequently withdraws, loses, or the position is filled by another person. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 577 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 577 | $461 |
| Daring-Pirate | No | 314 | $63 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 40 | $8 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 40 | $8 |
| Creamy-Geology | No | 40 | $8 |
| Known-Use | No | 31 | $6 |
| Speedy-Spine-Rowing | No | 20 | $4 |
| Spicy-Neighbour | No | 20 | $4 |
| Writhing-Round | No | 20 | $4 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 07:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 08:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.0% | $24 |
| Oct 20, 01:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 09:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.0% | $30 |
| Oct 19, 09:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.8% | $31 |
| Oct 19, 09:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 78.0% | $31 |
| Oct 19, 09:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 15.5% | $33 |
| Oct 19, 09:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 16, 10:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 25.0% | $31 |
| Oct 16, 10:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 68.2% | $241 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 80.0%. Next is No at 20.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jim-jordan-run-for-republican-house-leader?via=bro
$2.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 80.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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