As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 55.4% in Will Justin Sun meet with Elon Musk in 2026? — $19.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 55.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +10.2 pts.
Since January 20, 2026, No has traded between 38.5% and 99.4%. It opened at 38.5% and last traded at 55.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 58.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 55.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 54.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.4% |
No is favored at 55.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 55¢ | 55.4% | +0.5 pts | $19.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 45¢ | 44.6% | -0.5 pts | $19.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 82¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 86¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Sun meets with Elon Musk by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Justin Sun and Elon Musk are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 130 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Untidy-Memorial | No | 130 | $72 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 103 | $46 |
| Kindhearted-Bandwidth | No | 100 | $55 |
| Hasty-Behaviour | Yes | 100 | $45 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 98 | $44 |
| True-Highlight | No | 79 | $44 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | No | 75 | $42 |
| Aching-Pea | No | 46 | $26 |
| Treasured-Champion | Yes | 42 | $19 |
| Honest-Basil | Yes | 29 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 04:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.2% | $0 |
| Aug 05, 05:29 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.5% | $1 |
| Jul 30, 02:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.5% | $0 |
| Jul 27, 03:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.8% | $1 |
| Jul 27, 03:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.7% | $3 |
| Jun 22, 12:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.0% | $5 |
| Jun 20, 04:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.2% | $1 |
| Jun 20, 04:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 71.6% | $4 |
| Jun 20, 03:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $3 |
| Jun 20, 07:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 55.4%. Next is Yes at 44.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-justin-sun-meet-with-elon-musk-in-2026?via=bro
$19.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
No, priced at 55.4% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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