As of October 24, 2026, 09:24 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 50.5% in Will Lamine Yamal leave Barcelona before 2028? — $100 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +26.0 pts; past month: -1.5 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, No has traded between 47.5% and 92.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 50.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.5% |
No is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 50¢ | 50.5% | — | $100 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $100 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 95¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$100 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lamine Yamal ceases to be a Barcelona player before January 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Yamal signed a contract with Barcelona reported to run until 2031, carrying a reported release clause of EUR 1 billion. A permanent transfer to another club counts. A loan to another club also counts, provided the loan has begun. Transfers or assignments between Barcelona's senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams do not count. An official announcement of a transfer that takes effect before January 1, 2028 will resolve this market to "Yes" even if the announcement is made earlier. If Lamine Yamal retires from professional football before January 1, 2028, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Barcelona and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 10 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 09:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $2 |
| Sep 20, 11:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 44.0% | $2 |
| Sep 20, 11:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $3 |
| Sep 20, 11:18 AM ET | No | BUY | 14.0% | $3 |
| Sep 19, 07:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $10 |
| Sep 15, 05:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $5 |
| Sep 15, 05:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 50.5%. Next is Yes at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lamine-yamal-leave-barcelona-before-2028?via=bro
$100 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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