As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 34.0% in Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by...? — $9.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 34.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -4.0 pts; past month: -21.0 pts.
Since July 17, 2026, December 31 has traded between 32.5% and 83.5%. It opened at 55.0% and last traded at 32.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 39.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 33.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 32.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 32.5% |
December 31 is favored at 34.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 34¢ | 34.0% | +0.5 pts | $5.0K | 55.7% |
| November 30 | 10¢ | 10.0% | +4.0 pts | $703 | 7.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 33¢ / ask 35¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.0K has been traded on this event in total, $377 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 02:59 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lana Del Rey officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 339 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Prevention | No | 339 | $224 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 296 | $195 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk | Yes | 267 | $91 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 216 | $74 |
| Square-Crystal | Yes | 176 | $60 |
| Ecstatic-Longitude | Yes | 130 | $44 |
| Mysterious-Anthropology | No | 125 | $83 |
| Guilty-Itinerary | No | 110 | $73 |
| Gummy-Theater | Yes | 61 | $21 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 45 | $30 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 08:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 59.6% | $75 |
| Oct 24, 08:36 AM ET | No | BUY | 60.0% | $12 |
| Oct 23, 11:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 10:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 10:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.2% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 10:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 10:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 10:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 10:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 65.0% | $85 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 34.0%. Next is November 30 at 10.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lana-del-rey-release-a-new-album-byptptpt-20260717173624432?via=bro
$9.0K in total volume, with $377 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 02:59 AM ET.
December 31, priced at 34.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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