As of October 24, 2026, 09:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 79.5% in Will Legacy Make a Roster Change by December 31? — $202 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 79.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.5 pts; past week: -4.0 pts; past month: -4.5 pts.
Since August 29, 2026, No has traded between 40.0% and 78.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 76.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 75.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 76.0% |
No is favored at 79.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80¢ | 79.5% | +3.5 pts | $202 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 20¢ | 20.5% | -3.5 pts | $202 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 15¢ / ask 26¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$202 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves Legacy's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of Legacy" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/12468/legacy#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: dumau, latto, n1ssim, arT, try. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.hltv.org/team/12468/legacy#tab-rosterBox
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 106 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exalted-Root | No | 106 | $84 |
| Medium-Peacock | Yes | 50 | $10 |
| Past-Disguise | Yes | 21 | $4 |
| Corrupt-Stomach | No | 21 | $17 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | Yes | 20 | $4 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 16 | $3 |
| Jaunty-Nestmate | Yes | 14 | $3 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | Yes | 6 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 04:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 23.0% | $1 |
| Oct 08, 07:19 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.0% | $2 |
| Oct 02, 01:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 01, 11:25 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 35.0% | $5 |
| Sep 19, 07:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.0% | $2 |
| Sep 16, 06:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.0% | $5 |
| Sep 16, 06:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $15 |
| Sep 16, 06:06 AM ET | No | BUY | 70.0% | $60 |
| Aug 28, 08:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 38.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 79.5%. Next is Yes at 20.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-legacy-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31?via=bro
$202 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.hltv.org/team/12468/legacy#tab-rosterBox.
No, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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