As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 88.4% in Will Lionel Messi play at the 2028 Copa America? — $407 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 88.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -2.4 pts; past month: +0.1 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, No has traded between 48.5% and 97.5%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 88.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 88.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.4% |
No is favored at 88.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 88¢ | 88.4% | — | $407 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 12¢ | 11.6% | — | $407 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$407 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi appears in at least one match for Argentina at the 2028 Copa America. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An appearance means taking the field, whether as a starter or as a substitute, for any length of time. Being named in the squad or on the bench without taking the field does not count. If Argentina does not take part in the 2028 Copa America, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2028 Copa America is cancelled, postponed after August 1, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, or Messi has not appeared in a match at the tournament within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from CONMEBOL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Helpful-Cheese | No | 100 | $88 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 23 | $3 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 21 | $2 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Lumbering-Propane | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Old-Fashioned-Handholding-Viscose | Yes | 7 | $1 |
| Adventurous-Cribbage | Yes | 7 | $1 |
| Animated-Witchhunt | Yes | 6 | $1 |
| Gripping-Abolishment | No | 4 | $4 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 2 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 09:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.2% | $2 |
| Oct 09, 05:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 91.8% | $16 |
| Oct 08, 08:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.1% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 08:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.8% | $16 |
| Oct 07, 03:09 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.9% | $0 |
| Sep 22, 02:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.7% | $2 |
| Sep 17, 08:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $16 |
| Sep 17, 08:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 81.0% | $16 |
| Sep 17, 08:54 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $4 |
| Sep 17, 05:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 88.4%. Next is Yes at 11.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lionel-messi-play-at-the-2028-copa-america?via=bro
$407 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 88.4% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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