As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 52.5% in Will Lionel Messi sign a contract extension beyond the 2028 MLS season? — $322 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 52.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: +4.5 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Yes has traded between 13.5% and 53.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 52.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 32.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.5% |
Yes is favored at 52.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52¢ | 52.5% | — | $322 | 100.0% |
| No | 48¢ | 47.5% | — | $322 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 83¢ (bid 11¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$322 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi signs a contract extension or a new contract with Inter Miami CF that keeps him at the club beyond the expiry of his current contract, and this is officially confirmed by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Messi's current contract with Inter Miami is reported to run through 2028. A qualifying extension means an official confirmation by Inter Miami CF, by Messi, or by his official representatives of a contract that keeps him at the club beyond that expiry. If Messi joins a different club rather than extending with Inter Miami, or retires, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Inter Miami CF or Lionel Messi; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 60 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unripe-Exhaustion | No | 60 | $28 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 42 | $22 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 22 | $10 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Muted-Accuracy | No | 20 | $10 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Grim-Garage | Yes | 18 | $10 |
| Animated-Witchhunt | Yes | 4 | $2 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 2 | $1 |
| Gripping-Abolishment | No | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 05:29 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 07:13 AM ET | No | SELL | 65.0% | $12 |
| Oct 08, 01:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 43.0% | $17 |
| Oct 08, 01:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $14 |
| Oct 08, 01:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $17 |
| Oct 08, 01:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $30 |
| Sep 28, 04:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 80.0% | $2 |
| Sep 27, 07:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 48.0% | $10 |
| Sep 27, 02:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $11 |
| Sep 27, 02:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 52.5%. Next is No at 47.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lionel-messi-sign-a-contract-extension-beyond-the-2028-mls-season?via=bro
$322 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 52.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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