As of October 24, 2026, 09:01 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 60.5% in Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 MLS Golden Boot? — $2.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 60.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -10.0 pts; past month: -15.0 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Yes has traded between 18.0% and 91.0%. It opened at 46.0% and last traded at 60.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 39.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 60.5% |
Yes is favored at 60.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 60¢ | 60.5% | — | $2.0K | 100.0% |
| No | 40¢ | 39.5% | — | $2.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 59¢ / ask 62¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi finishes as the leading goalscorer of the 2027 MLS Sprint Season regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The 2027 MLS Sprint Season is the abbreviated 14-match Major League Soccer regular season scheduled to run from February 2027 to May 2027. Only goals scored in Sprint Season regular-season matches count. Goals in the 2027 MLS Cup Playoffs, Leagues Cup, Concacaf Champions Cup, U.S. Open Cup, international matches and friendlies do not count. If Major League Soccer officially presents a Golden Boot award for the 2027 MLS Sprint Season, this market will resolve according to that award. If two or more players finish level on goals scored, this market will resolve according to the tiebreaker applied by Major League Soccer, which awards the Golden Boot to the tied player with the fewest minutes played. If no single winner can be determined, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 MLS Sprint Season is cancelled, postponed after June 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no leading goalscorer can be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 84 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unsteady-Agency | Yes | 84 | $51 |
| Ancient-Interviewer-Prison | No | 54 | $21 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 32 | $20 |
| Shimmering-Fibroblast | No | 21 | $8 |
| 0x16e79aa0… | No | 20 | $8 |
| Apt-Antecedent | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Speedy-Spine-Rowing | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 20 | $8 |
| Embarrassed-Hill-Fold | No | 20 | $8 |
| Scary-Holder | No | 20 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 10:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 66.0% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 04:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 25.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 04:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 47.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 04:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 04:24 PM ET | No | SELL | 25.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 04:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 49.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 03:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 58.4% | $86 |
| Oct 21, 03:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 03:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.5% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 03:57 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 60.5%. Next is No at 39.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-lionel-messi-win-the-2027-mls-golden-boot?via=bro
$2.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 60.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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