As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.0% in Will Logan Paul return to the WWE ring before October 31, 2026? — $2.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: -0.8 pts; past month: -14.5 pts.
Since August 13, 2026, No has traded between 55.0% and 96.5%. It opened at 55.0% and last traded at 95.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 95.9% |
No is favored at 96.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 96.0% | +0.2 pts | $2.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.2 pts | $2.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.3K has been traded on this event in total, $10 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Logan Paul competes in an official professional wrestling match at a televised or livestreamed WWE event on or before October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "competing in a match" means Logan Paul is an announced or recognized participant in a match that officially begins (i.e., the opening bell rings) with Paul as a legal participant or tag team/multi-competitor entrant. Qualifying matches include any match type (singles, tag team, multi-competitor, battle royal, Royal Rumble-style, cinematic, or other) at any televised or livestreamed WWE-branded event, including but not limited to Raw, SmackDown, premium live events, Saturday Night's Main Event, and NXT, provided the match is officially recognized by WWE or documented by credible match records. Matches at untelevised WWE live events (house shows) do not count. The following do not count as a return to the ring: non-wrestling television appearances, promos, commentary, run-ins, attacks, brawls, or other physical altercations outside of an official match; appearing as a manager, guest referee, or in any other non-competitor role; matches announced or scheduled but not started before the deadline; and matches for non-WWE promotions. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.wwe.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 443 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Punctual-Brook | No | 443 | $425 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 271 | $11 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 98 | $4 |
| Cluttered-Cyclone-Headlight | Yes | 77 | $3 |
| Shameful-Ram | No | 74 | $71 |
| Elated-Vegetarian | No | 71 | $68 |
| Cavernous-Anyone | No | 49 | $47 |
| Writhing-Halibut | Yes | 42 | $2 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 40 | $2 |
| Frail-Prayer | Yes | 34 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.5% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 04:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.1% | $33 |
| Oct 13, 08:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.6% | $0 |
| Oct 13, 03:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 93.1% | $14 |
| Oct 13, 03:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.7% | $15 |
| Oct 13, 03:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.3% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 04:25 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 04:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.8% | $47 |
| Oct 03, 06:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $13 |
| Oct 03, 03:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $36 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.0%. Next is Yes at 4.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-logan-paul-return-to-the-wwe-ring-before-october-31-2026-20260811201822002?via=bro
$2.3K in total volume, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.wwe.com.
No, priced at 96.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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