As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 89.5% in Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? — $24.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 89.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -4.0 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 58.5% and 94.0%. It opened at 73.0% and last traded at 89.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.5% |
No is favored at 89.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90¢ | 89.5% | +0.5 pts | $24.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 10¢ | 10.5% | -0.5 pts | $24.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$24.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2030, 11:59 PM ET.
Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030. You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur: 1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier. The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify. The enactment of a policy that initiates a structured increase of the minimum wage to at least $30 an hour in NYC over the course of several years will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, so long as that policy explicitly outlines it will achieve that level by the stated date. Enactment of limited or temporary pilots which are not formally intended for citywide expansion (e.g., policies that explicitly cover only select boroughs, neighborhoods, or time periods) will not count. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 555 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ample-Instance | No | 555 | $497 |
| Glittering-Laparoscope | No | 540 | $483 |
| Unique-Person | Yes | 505 | $53 |
| Warped-Proportion | Yes | 500 | $52 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 430 | $385 |
| Long-Term-Pet | Yes | 400 | $42 |
| Sore-Tortellini | No | 362 | $324 |
| Critical-Lox | No | 325 | $291 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 255 | $27 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 240 | $25 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 04:06 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 07:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.4% | $13 |
| Oct 21, 07:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $13 |
| Oct 20, 09:08 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 07:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $43 |
| Oct 20, 07:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $9 |
| Oct 20, 07:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $44 |
| Oct 18, 03:53 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $26 |
| Oct 18, 11:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 09:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 89.5%. Next is Yes at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mamdani-raise-the-minimum-wage-to-30-before-2027?via=bro
$24.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2030, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story.
No, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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