As of October 24, 2026, 08:04 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.5% in Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? — $32.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.6 pts; past week: +0.8 pts; past month: +2.1 pts.
Since April 04, 2026, No has traded between 75.0% and 98.7%. It opened at 83.5% and last traded at 96.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.4% |
No is favored at 96.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 96.5% | +0.6 pts | $32.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 3.5% | -0.6 pts | $32.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$32.9K has been traded on this event in total, $55 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Verstappen officially announces his retirement from Formula 1 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Max Verstappen is retiring from Formula 1 racing. The announcement must come from Max Verstappen himself or his official representatives. The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or prior to the start of the next season following the announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Max Verstappen; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,344 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Humongous-Chorus | Yes | 1,344 | $47 |
| Idealistic-Mayonnaise | No | 988 | $953 |
| Willing-Vivo-Video | No | 849 | $819 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 667 | $23 |
| Pale-Victory | No | 602 | $581 |
| Husky-Boxspring-Eyebrow | No | 600 | $579 |
| Minty-Maternity | No | 588 | $567 |
| Essential-Diarist | Yes | 420 | $15 |
| Bony-Arrival | Yes | 390 | $14 |
| Caring-Organ | Yes | 255 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:45 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.2% | $34 |
| Oct 22, 03:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.6% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 02:55 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 02:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.6% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 03:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $125 |
| Oct 17, 08:52 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.8% | $0 |
| Oct 14, 08:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.9% | $10 |
| Oct 12, 01:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.3% | $0 |
| Oct 11, 05:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $150 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.5%. Next is Yes at 3.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-max-verstappen-retire-from-f1-in-2026?via=bro
$32.9K in total volume, with $55 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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