As of October 24, 2026, 09:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 58.5% in Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...? — $636 traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 58.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +3.0 pts; past month: +6.0 pts.
Since May 20, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 49.5% and 94.0%. It opened at 79.0% and last traded at 58.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 58.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 58.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 58¢ | 58.5% | +0.5 pts | $115 | 18.1% |
| June 30, 2027 | 48¢ | 47.5% | -0.5 pts | $57 | 9.0% |
| December 31, 2026 | 16¢ | 16.5% | +0.5 pts | $464 | 72.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 77¢ (bid 20¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$636 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
McCormick & Company and Unilever announced the proposed combination of Unilever's Foods business with McCormick on March 31, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://www.unilever.com/news/press-and-media/press-releases/2026/unilever-announces-the-combination-of-unilever-foods-with-mccormick/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the merger between McCormick & Company and Unilever Foods is completed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.unilever.com/news/press-and-media/press-releases/2026/unilever-announces-the-combination-of-unilever-foods-with-mccormick/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 40 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Somber-Pizza | Yes | 40 | $23 |
| 0xe3aeb10c… | No | 30 | $12 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 10 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 05:39 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
| Sep 11, 10:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $9 |
| Sep 08, 11:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $9 |
| Aug 12, 04:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $2 |
| Aug 06, 08:29 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $0 |
| Aug 05, 05:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.9% | $0 |
| Jul 13, 04:12 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $0 |
| Jun 27, 03:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 13.0% | $0 |
| Jun 27, 03:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $2 |
| Jun 23, 05:03 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 58.5%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 47.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mccormick-merge-with-unilever-foods-by?via=bro
$636 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.unilever.com/news/press-and-media/press-releases/2026/unilever-announces-the-combination-of-unilever-foods-with-mccormick/.
December 31, 2027, priced at 58.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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