Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 58.5% in Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...? — $636 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31, 2027
58%
A 58.5% price implies roughly a 58-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.5 pts7D +3.0 pts30D +6.0 pts
December 31, 202758.5%
June 30, 202747.5%
Bid
20¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
77¢
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Range since May 20, 2026: 49.5% – 94.0% · Opened at 79.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?
Category
Finance, Acquisitions, merger, Unilever, mccormick, Business, Economy
Scheduled end
December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$636
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$1.7K
Markets
3
Leading outcome
December 31, 2027 — 58.5%
Resolution source
https://www.unilever.com/news/press-and-media/press-releases/2026/unilever-announces-the-combination-of-unilever-foods-with-mccormick/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 58.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: +3.0 pts; past month: +6.0 pts.

Since May 20, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 49.5% and 94.0%. It opened at 79.0% and last traded at 58.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202661.0%
Oct 18, 202659.0%
Oct 19, 202665.0%
Oct 20, 202657.5%
Oct 23, 202658.0%
Oct 24, 202658.5%
Oct 24, 202658.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31, 2027 is favored at 58.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 31, 202758¢58.5%+0.5 pts$11518.1%
June 30, 202748¢47.5%-0.5 pts$579.0%
December 31, 202616¢16.5%+0.5 pts$46472.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 77¢ (bid 20¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$636 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

McCormick & Company and Unilever announced the proposed combination of Unilever's Foods business with McCormick on March 31, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://www.unilever.com/news/press-and-media/press-releases/2026/unilever-announces-the-combination-of-unilever-foods-with-mccormick/. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the merger between McCormick & Company and Unilever Foods is completed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The merger will be considered completed once it has become legally effective and the two companies are now a single entity or they exist under a single entity as one corporate group, as evidenced by official company announcements and/or regulatory filings (e.g. the filing of an 8-K form to the SEC that announces the closure of the deal). Shareholder approval, receipt of regulatory approvals, regulatory filings which do not announce the closure of the deal, or other intermediate steps towards the closing of a deal will not alone be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. If the merger agreement is officially terminated or the deal has been abandoned according to official company communications, this market will resolve to “No”. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.unilever.com/news/press-and-media/press-releases/2026/unilever-announces-the-combination-of-unilever-foods-with-mccormick/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 40 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Somber-PizzaYes40$23
0xe3aeb10c…No30$12
Belated-GlueNo10$4

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $72 at 80.0%BUY Yes — $20 at 80.0%SELL Yes — $19 at 77.6%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Sep 18, 05:39 AM ETYesSELL5.0%$0
Sep 11, 10:22 PM ETNoBUY93.0%$9
Sep 08, 11:01 PM ETNoBUY94.0%$9
Aug 12, 04:14 PM ETNoBUY23.0%$2
Aug 06, 08:29 PM ETYesSELL11.0%$0
Aug 05, 05:30 AM ETYesSELL4.9%$0
Jul 13, 04:12 AM ETYesSELL6.0%$0
Jun 27, 03:37 AM ETYesSELL13.0%$0
Jun 27, 03:37 AM ETYesBUY99.0%$2
Jun 23, 05:03 AM ETYesSELL12.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 58.5%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 47.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mccormick-merge-with-unilever-foods-by?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...??

$636 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.

When does Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.unilever.com/news/press-and-media/press-releases/2026/unilever-announces-the-combination-of-unilever-foods-with-mccormick/.

What is the most likely outcome of Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, 2027, priced at 58.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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