Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.0% in Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? — $3.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
93%
A 93.0% price implies roughly a 93-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −0.5 pts30D −4.5 pts
No93.0%
Yes7.0%
Bid
5¢
Ask
9¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since February 24, 2026: 58.5% – 94.5% · Opened at 80.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
Category
Crypto, Stablecoins, Meta, token launch, Pre-Market
Scheduled end
January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET
Total volume
$3.2K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$608
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 93.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -4.5 pts.

Since February 24, 2026, No has traded between 58.5% and 94.5%. It opened at 80.0% and last traded at 93.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202692.5%
Oct 18, 202692.5%
Oct 19, 202692.5%
Oct 20, 202693.0%
Oct 23, 202693.0%
Oct 24, 202693.0%
Oct 24, 202693.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 93.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No93¢93.0%—$3.2K100.0%
Yes7¢7.0%—$3.2K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 5¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$3.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta launches a stablecoin pegged to the US Dollar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The stablecoin must be actively transferrable and/or tradable, announcements alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Meta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 697 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Candid-LightingNo697$648
Known-UseYes354$25
Juvenile-Review-ChickenYes238$17
Snappy-RoosterYes152$11
0xe9a267d3…Yes152$11
Distinct-KaleNo105$98
Belated-GlueYes100$7
Kind-DevelopmentalNo91$85
High-Level-ShortNo62$58
0x064a7e6a…No59$55

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $532 at 89.2%BUY No — $95 at 95.0%BUY No — $58 at 95.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 08:05 PM ETNoBUY95.0%$95
Oct 01, 05:35 PM ETYesBUY10.0%$5
Oct 01, 03:56 PM ETNoBUY92.0%$46
Oct 01, 03:56 PM ETNoBUY93.0%$46
Oct 01, 10:59 AM ETNoBUY92.0%$28
Oct 01, 10:59 AM ETNoBUY89.2%$532
Oct 01, 10:59 AM ETNoBUY92.0%$28
Oct 01, 10:14 AM ETYesSELL12.0%$4
Oct 01, 10:13 AM ETNoBUY87.0%$52
Oct 01, 02:59 AM ETNoBUY88.0%$10

Related markets

More Crypto

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?

↓ 80,000 52.5% · 24H VOL $404.2K

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 24?

↑ 82,000 4.0% · 24H VOL $359.4K

Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?

72,000 100.0% · 24H VOL $242.5K

What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?

↑ 2,400 45.5% · 24H VOL $236.3K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.0%. Next is Yes at 7.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-meta-launch-a-usd-stablecoin-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026??

$3.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 93.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.