As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 89.9% in Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution? — $7.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 89.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: -0.4 pts; past month: -0.7 pts.
Since March 02, 2026, No has traded between 38.5% and 96.3%. It opened at 52.0% and last traded at 89.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.9% |
No is favored at 89.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90¢ | 89.9% | +0.1 pts | $7.8K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 10¢ | 10.1% | -0.1 pts | $7.8K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 10¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.8K has been traded on this event in total, $14 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
Resolution source: https://www.michigan.gov/sos
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 493 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expensive-Manatee | No | 493 | $443 |
| Whimsical-Seller | Yes | 342 | $35 |
| Vivacious-Fondue | No | 118 | $106 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 114 | $12 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 66 | $7 |
| Imaginative-Shoes | Yes | 36 | $4 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 30 | $3 |
| Cheery-Science | No | 28 | $25 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 26 | $3 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow | Yes | 26 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $12 |
| Oct 09, 09:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.7% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 09:24 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.3% | $9 |
| Oct 03, 06:47 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.6% | $18 |
| Oct 03, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.3% | $5 |
| Oct 03, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.4% | $2 |
| Oct 03, 09:53 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.8% | $9 |
| Oct 03, 03:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.9% | $9 |
| Oct 01, 09:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.7% | $9 |
| Oct 01, 09:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.3% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 89.9%. Next is Yes at 10.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-michigan-vote-to-rewrite-the-state-constitution?via=bro
$7.8K in total volume, with $14 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.michigan.gov/sos.
No, priced at 89.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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