Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 61.0% in Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26? — $2 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.
Leading outcome
Yes
61%
A 61.0% price implies roughly a 61-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.5 pts
Yes61.0%
No39.0%
Bid
28¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
66¢
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Range since October 19, 2026: 42.0% – 62.5% · Opened at 42.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26?
Category
MicroStrategy, Weekly, Recurring, Crypto
Scheduled end
October 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Total volume
$2
Volume (24h)
$2
Liquidity
$88
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 61.0%
Resolution source
https://www.strategy.com/purchases

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 61.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts.

Since October 19, 2026, Yes has traded between 42.0% and 62.5%. It opened at 42.0% and last traded at 61.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 61.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes61¢61.0%-0.5 pts$2100.0%
No39¢39.0%+0.5 pts$2100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 66¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2 has been traded on this event in total, $2 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy Incorporated announces that they have acquired additional Bitcoin between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor. For reference, MicroStrategy's reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Resolution source: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Pale-Sesame-EdibleNo1$0
Belated-GlueYes1$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $1 at 96.0%SELL Yes — $0 at 28.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:43 AM ETYesSELL28.0%$0
Oct 24, 05:32 AM ETYesBUY96.0%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 61.0%. Next is No at 39.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-a-bitcoin-purchase-october-20-26-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26??

$2 in total volume, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.strategy.com/purchases.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 20-26?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:32 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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