As of October 24, 2026, 07:48 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.2% in Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? — $204.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.1 pts; past week: +0.1 pts; past month: +0.6 pts.
Since November 12, 2025, No has traded between 60.0% and 97.8%. It opened at 60.0% and last traded at 97.1%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.1% |
No is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.2% | +0.1 pts | $204.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $204.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 3¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$204.9K has been traded on this event in total, $6 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents MicroStrategy. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,380 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petty-Sled | No | 7,380 | $7.2K |
| Portly-Postbox | Yes | 5,000 | $142 |
| Fat-Disengagement | Yes | 4,200 | $120 |
| Demanding-Pile | No | 4,091 | $4.0K |
| Faint-Fix | Yes | 2,653 | $76 |
| Primary-Envelope | Yes | 2,032 | $58 |
| Grand-Casket | No | 1,994 | $1.9K |
| Acrobatic-Economics | No | 1,705 | $1.7K |
| Qualified-Hypothermia | Yes | 1,670 | $48 |
| FATMAN | No | 1,479 | $1.4K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 05:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $48 |
| Oct 18, 10:47 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $71 |
| Oct 02, 04:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $5 |
| Oct 02, 03:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $1 |
| Oct 02, 03:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $5 |
| Oct 01, 03:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $1 |
| Oct 01, 03:12 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $1 |
| Sep 27, 04:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $1 |
| Sep 24, 10:52 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.2% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.2%. Next is Yes at 2.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-bankruptcy-before-2027?via=bro
$204.9K in total volume, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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