As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 1M+ at 3.0% in Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026? — $557.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 1M+, is priced at 3.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.4 pts; past month: -4.5 pts.
Since March 10, 2026, 1M+ has traded between 2.8% and 64.0%. It opened at 47.5% and last traded at 3.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 3.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 3.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 3.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 3.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 4.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 2.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 3.0% |
1M+ is favored at 3.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M+ | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $345.6K | 62.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$557.7K has been traded on this event in total, $1 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
Resolution source: https://www.strategy.com/purchases
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 78,457 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Functional-Balloonist | No | 78,457 | $76.1K |
| Wild-Gymnast | Yes | 38,553 | $1.2K |
| Dear-Prairie | No | 20,342 | $19.7K |
| Peaceful-Illusion | Yes | 14,921 | $455 |
| Splendid-Collection | Yes | 13,420 | $409 |
| Blue-Shape | No | 12,081 | $11.7K |
| Qualified-Arena | No | 11,589 | $11.2K |
| Fat-Disengagement | Yes | 7,500 | $229 |
| Probable-Papa | Yes | 7,100 | $217 |
| Spirited-Motorcar | Yes | 4,656 | $142 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:57 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 06:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $1.3K |
| Oct 22, 08:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.8% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:07 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.3% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:23 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 06:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $960 |
| Oct 22, 05:21 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $2.0K |
| Oct 22, 03:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.5% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 03:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $965 |
| Oct 21, 06:39 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $1.9K |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is 1M+ at 3.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-announce-holding-800k-btc-by-december-31-2026?via=bro
$557.7K in total volume, with $1 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.strategy.com/purchases.
1M+, priced at 3.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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