As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 91.0% in Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...? — $1.22M traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 91.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -2.5 pts; past month: +7.0 pts.
Since February 02, 2026, December 31 has traded between 18.0% and 94.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 92.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 92.0% |
December 31 is favored at 91.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 91¢ | 91.0% | -0.5 pts | $40.4K | 3.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 88¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.22M has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market. An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 16,842 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weak-Dinner | Yes | 16,842 | $15.3K |
| Ultimate-Rumor | No | 6,357 | $572 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 4,621 | $416 |
| Inexperienced-Amazon | No | 897 | $81 |
| Which-Reaction-Responsibility | No | 709 | $64 |
| Small-Blowhole | No | 700 | $63 |
| Periodic-Pun | No | 655 | $59 |
| CherryB16 | Yes | 643 | $585 |
| Digital-Dump | No | 605 | $54 |
| Minor-Galoshes | No | 352 | $32 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 05:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 8.0% | $9 |
| Oct 16, 01:33 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 92.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 11:06 AM ET | No | SELL | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 06:53 AM ET | No | BUY | 11.1% | $8 |
| Oct 16, 01:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 93.0% | $50 |
| Oct 15, 11:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 91.0% | $81 |
| Oct 15, 11:02 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.1% | $40 |
| Oct 15, 09:16 PM ET | No | SELL | 6.0% | $6 |
| Oct 15, 07:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 05:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 91.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-delisted-from-the-msci-index-by-march-31?via=bro
$1.22M in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
December 31, priced at 91.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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