As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.4% in Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? — $115.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: -0.4 pts.
Since February 03, 2026, No has traded between 84.0% and 98.2%. It opened at 84.0% and last traded at 96.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.4% |
No is favored at 96.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96¢ | 96.4% | -0.4 pts | $115.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 4¢ | 3.6% | +0.4 pts | $115.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$115.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy incorporated is margin called on any of its Bitcoin-backed loans by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, resulting in either a forced liquidation of Bitcoin by a lender or MicroStrategy posting additional collateral or making a loan repayment in response to the margin call. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A margin call is defined as a lender formally requiring MicroStrategy to either provide additional collateral or repay part of a loan due to the value of Bitcoin collateral falling below the required loan-to-value (LTV) ratio. Voluntary Bitcoin sales by MicroStrategy that are not explicitly in response to a margin call will not count. The primary resolution sources will be SEC filings, official MicroStrategy statements, and a consensus of credible financial reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 11,116 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pleasant-Councilor | No | 11,116 | $10.7K |
| 0x5a61e969… | Yes | 7,480 | $273 |
| Cheery-Preparation | No | 3,437 | $3.3K |
| Demanding-Pile | No | 2,000 | $1.9K |
| Big-Merchant | Yes | 1,983 | $72 |
| 0x7a6c4696… | No | 1,849 | $1.8K |
| Safe-Childbirth | Yes | 1,822 | $66 |
| 0x94eeb9d2… | Yes | 1,526 | $56 |
| Light-Sandbar | Yes | 1,168 | $43 |
| Qualified-Hypothermia | Yes | 1,100 | $40 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 09:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.1% | $11 |
| Oct 09, 06:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.4% | $1 |
| Oct 09, 06:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $1 |
| Oct 04, 01:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $5 |
| Oct 04, 11:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.5% | $2 |
| Oct 04, 11:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.4% | $197 |
| Oct 01, 02:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.5% | $119 |
| Oct 01, 02:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $27 |
| Sep 29, 08:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $0 |
| Sep 29, 04:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.3% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.4%. Next is Yes at 3.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-microstrategy-be-margin-called-in-2026?via=bro
$115.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2027, 12:00 AM ET.
No, priced at 96.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.