As of October 24, 2026, 08:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 80.5% in Will MOUZ Make a Roster Change by December 31? — $4.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 80.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -12.0 pts; past month: -7.0 pts.
Since August 28, 2026, No has traded between 37.5% and 92.0%. It opened at 52.5% and last traded at 80.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 81.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 80.5% |
No is favored at 80.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80¢ | 80.5% | -1.0 pts | $4.0K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 20¢ | 19.5% | +1.0 pts | $4.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.0K has been traded on this event in total, $78 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves MOUZ's main cs2 roster (defined as players listed with status = "Starter" in the "Players of MOUZ" table on HLTV: https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox) by December 31 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: torzsi, xertioN, Spinx, xelex, PR. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. "Roster change" refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starter lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different 5-player active roster on HLTV. Coach changes and temporary stand-ins for a single event will not count. For matches and events, the stand-in appears in the active 5-player lineup but with a clear marker (e.g., [SI]) to distinguish them from the core roster. The primary resolution source for this market will be HLTV; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 354 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rusty-Favorite | Yes | 354 | $69 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 343 | $67 |
| Impressive-Dresser | No | 275 | $221 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Period | No | 227 | $183 |
| Medium-Peacock | Yes | 110 | $21 |
| Well-Made-Sovereignty | No | 100 | $80 |
| Corrupt-Stomach | No | 100 | $80 |
| Gloomy-Marxism-Idiom | No | 82 | $66 |
| Quizzical-Hire | No | 55 | $44 |
| Trivial-Bureau-Consulate | No | 30 | $24 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:26 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.6% | $56 |
| Oct 23, 01:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 04:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $131 |
| Oct 22, 08:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $9 |
| Oct 22, 08:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 12:20 AM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 02:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 66.0% | $7 |
| Oct 20, 08:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $1 |
| Oct 19, 02:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.5% | $7 |
| Oct 19, 08:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 62.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 80.5%. Next is Yes at 19.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mouz-make-a-roster-change-by-december-31?via=bro
$4.0K in total volume, with $78 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.hltv.org/team/4494/mouz#tab-rosterBox.
No, priced at 80.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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