As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 524m at 87.8% in Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by October 31? — $9.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 524m, is priced at 87.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.7 pts; past week: +38.3 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, 524m has traded between 24.5% and 87.8%. It opened at 28.0% and last traded at 87.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 51.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 79.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.8% |
524m is favored at 87.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 524m | 88¢ | 87.8% | +3.7 pts | $1.1K | 11.6% |
| 525m | 37¢ | 37.0% | +25.1 pts | $281 | 3.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 24¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.3K has been traded on this event in total, $52 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits at least the specified number of subscribers by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) or a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 187 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajar-Sportsman | Yes | 187 | $164 |
| Monstrous-Dew | Yes | 155 | $136 |
| Thrifty-Motion | No | 117 | $14 |
| Past-Pension-Floor | No | 110 | $13 |
| Long-Term-Fog | Yes | 76 | $67 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 70 | $9 |
| Disastrous-Dame | Yes | 53 | $47 |
| Heavy-Thunderhead | No | 45 | $5 |
| Cheery-Hostel | No | 40 | $5 |
| Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings | No | 31 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.6% | $76 |
| Oct 24, 01:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.8% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 09:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.8% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 08:42 AM ET | No | BUY | 29.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 04:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.5% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 08:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 72.8% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 01:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 71.0% | $20 |
| Oct 22, 11:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 0.7% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 09:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 1.9% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 09:15 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 524m at 87.8%. Next is 525m at 37.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-mrbeast-hit-million-subscribers-by-october-31-2026?via=bro
$9.3K in total volume, with $52 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
524m, priced at 87.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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