As of October 24, 2026, 06:37 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑ $525 at 85.0% in What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of October 26 2026? — $534 traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↑ $525, is priced at 85.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +35.0 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, ↑ $525 has traded between 48.5% and 85.0%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 85.0%.
↑ $525 is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $525 | 85¢ | 85.0% | +35.0 pts | $200 | 37.4% |
| ↓ $517.50 | 83¢ | 83.0% | +33.0 pts | $140 | 26.2% |
| ↑ $532.50 | 77¢ | 77.0% | +27.0 pts | $20 | 3.7% |
| ↓ $510 | 68¢ | 68.5% | +18.5 pts | $63 | 11.8% |
| ↑ $540 | 62¢ | 61.5% | +11.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↓ $502.50 | 53¢ | 53.0% | +3.0 pts | $50 | 9.4% |
| ↑ $547.50 | 47¢ | 47.0% | -3.0 pts | $4 | 0.7% |
| ↓ $495 | 40¢ | 39.5% | -11.0 pts | $24 | 4.6% |
| ↑ $555 | 34¢ | 34.5% | -15.5 pts | $3 | 0.6% |
| ↓ $487.50 | 28¢ | 28.0% | -22.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ↑ $562.50 | 25¢ | 25.0% | -25.0 pts | $6 | 1.2% |
| ↓ $480 | 20¢ | 20.0% | -30.0 pts | $12 | 2.3% |
| ↑ $570 | 18¢ | 17.5% | -32.5 pts | $6 | 1.1% |
| ↓ $472.50 | 14¢ | 13.5% | -36.5 pts | $6 | 1.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 83¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$534 has been traded on this event in total, $534 of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during the week of October 26 2026, any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 180 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academic-Waiter-Fencing | No | 180 | $27 |
| Gigantic-Popsicle-Walnut | Yes | 111 | $94 |
| Fresh-Cuckoo-Derby | Yes | 29 | $25 |
| Square-Crystal | Yes | 20 | $17 |
| Empty-Annual | Yes | 20 | $17 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:09 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 06:47 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 85.0% | $25 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 47.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 14.1% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 06:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 05:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 80.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 05:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $23 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑ $525 at 85.0%. Next is ↓ $517.50 at 83.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-msft-hit-week-of-october-26-2026?via=bro
$534 in total volume, with $534 traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 04:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.
↑ $525, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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