As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 54.0% in Will N1 launch a token by ___? — $5.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 54.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +8.5 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 46.0% and 64.0%. It opened at 46.5% and last traded at 54.0%.
December 31, 2027 is favored at 54.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 54¢ | 54.0% | -2.0 pts | $1.9K | 33.9% |
| June 30, 2027 | 34¢ | 33.5% | +1.5 pts | $1.4K | 24.1% |
| March 31, 2027 | 22¢ | 22.0% | -6.0 pts | $1.0K | 17.7% |
| December 31, 2026 | 11¢ | 11.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.4K | 24.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 52¢ / ask 56¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.7K has been traded on this event in total, $1.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if N1 officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by N1 after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from N1 (https://x.com/N1Chain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 350 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Authorized-Mandolin | Yes | 350 | $189 |
| alts4life | No | 248 | $114 |
| Melodic-Macro | No | 69 | $32 |
| Unwritten-Suite | No | 61 | $28 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 40 | $19 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 37 | $20 |
| 0xd4eb89f8… | Yes | 34 | $18 |
| Modern-Wilderness | No | 20 | $9 |
| Outlandish-Official | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| 0x60f21ab0… | Yes | 8 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 03:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:22 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 03:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:22 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 03:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $29 |
| Oct 24, 03:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 03:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 03:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 03:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 54.0%. Next is June 30, 2027 at 33.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-n1-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$5.7K in total volume, with $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 54.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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