As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 23.0% in Will Nansen launch a token by ___? — $332.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 23.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts; past week: -2.5 pts; past month: -3.5 pts.
Since May 21, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 23.0% and 72.0%. It opened at 50.5% and last traded at 25.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 25.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 23.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 23¢ | 23.0% | -2.5 pts | $75.7K | 22.8% |
| December 31, 2026 | 4¢ | 4.2% | -0.9 pts | $32.8K | 9.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 18¢ (bid 14¢ / ask 32¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$332.1K has been traded on this event in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nansen (https://www.nansen.ai/) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nansen, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.nansen.ai/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 642 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joint-Pawnshop | No | 642 | $494 |
| Torn-Lift | Yes | 500 | $115 |
| Thorough-Rainbow | No | 185 | $142 |
| Damp-Thigh | Yes | 150 | $34 |
| Wise-Keyboard | Yes | 55 | $13 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 53 | $12 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 50 | $12 |
| Hateful-Howard | Yes | 29 | $7 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 27 | $21 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 27 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.4% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 02:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 11:55 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 09:24 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.7% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 05:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $474 |
| Oct 23, 10:51 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 03:09 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $5 |
| Oct 20, 11:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $21 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 23.0%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 4.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nansen-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$332.1K in total volume, with $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nansen.ai/.
December 31, 2027, priced at 23.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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