As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 10.5% in Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...? — $487.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 10.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.0 pts; past month: +5.0 pts.
Since June 30, 2026, December 31 has traded between 5.5% and 44.5%. It opened at 44.5% and last traded at 10.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 9.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 9.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 10.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 10.5% |
December 31 is favored at 10.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 10¢ | 10.5% | — | $16.1K | 3.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$487.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or other formal grant of clemency from the then-serving President of Israel for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,570 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Married-Tenement | No | 3,570 | $3.2K |
| Imaginative-Resume | Yes | 2,267 | $238 |
| Ugly-Stance | No | 2,039 | $1.8K |
| Buzzing-Friction | Yes | 815 | $86 |
| Vivid-Briefing-Seep | Yes | 580 | $61 |
| Soggy-Twig | Yes | 459 | $48 |
| Deserted-Cyclone | Yes | 286 | $30 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 260 | $27 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 212 | $22 |
| Wavy-Surrounds-Ashtray | Yes | 167 | $18 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 02:51 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 01:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 12:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 15.0% | $5 |
| Oct 16, 04:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $305 |
| Oct 16, 04:08 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 8.0% | $47 |
| Oct 16, 03:57 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $57 |
| Oct 16, 03:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 16, 03:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $53 |
| Oct 12, 10:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 06:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-be-pardoned-by-june-30?via=bro
$487.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 10.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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