As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 6.0% in Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...? — $54.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 6.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -4.0 pts; past month: -5.5 pts.
Since June 30, 2026, December 31 has traded between 4.5% and 61.0%. It opened at 48.0% and last traded at 6.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 10.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 5.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 4.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 6.0% |
December 31 is favored at 6.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $3.0K | 5.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$54.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Lebanon Joseph Aoun talks with Benjamin Netanyahu between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 585 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand-Restoration | No | 585 | $550 |
| Content-Emery | Yes | 500 | $30 |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses | No | 500 | $470 |
| Limp-Drawer | No | 324 | $305 |
| Sweet-Shakedown-Leptocephalus | Yes | 193 | $12 |
| Short-Term-Criminal | Yes | 177 | $11 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 136 | $8 |
| Composed-Embellishment | Yes | 100 | $6 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 86 | $5 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 81 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 10:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.8% | $10 |
| Oct 20, 06:35 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $71 |
| Oct 20, 10:34 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 09:29 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $2 |
| Oct 06, 07:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $5 |
| Oct 04, 10:13 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.0% | $1 |
| Sep 30, 10:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $102 |
| Sep 30, 08:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.6% | $60 |
| Sep 27, 04:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $2 |
| Sep 27, 04:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $36 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-netanyahu-talk-to-joseph-aoun-by?via=bro
$54.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 6.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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