As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price September 30, 2027 at 50.5% in Will Noble launch a token by ___? — $36.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, September 30, 2027, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts.
Since May 20, 2026, September 30, 2027 has traded between 39.5% and 51.5%. It opened at 39.5% and last traded at 51.5%.
September 30, 2027 is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| March 31, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.0% | -1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| December 31, 2027 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| June 30, 2027 | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $9.7K | 26.6% |
| December 31, 2026 | 6¢ | 6.5% | — | $10.4K | 28.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 87¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$36.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Noble officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Noble will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Noble (https://x.com/noble_xyz), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 12:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $20 |
| Oct 21, 12:21 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 19, 06:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 79.0% | $21 |
| Oct 12, 04:17 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $6 |
| Oct 11, 12:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $13 |
| Oct 11, 12:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 11, 12:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 78.0% | $21 |
| Oct 10, 10:24 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $23 |
| Oct 10, 11:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 82.0% | $11 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is September 30, 2027 at 50.5%. Next is March 31, 2027 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-noble-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$36.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
September 30, 2027, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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