As of October 24, 2026, 07:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 10.5% in Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...? — $122.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 10.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -7.0 pts; past month: -9.0 pts.
Since July 01, 2026, December 31 has traded between 6.0% and 35.5%. It opened at 31.5% and last traded at 6.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 13.5% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 15.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 16.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 23.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 18.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 6.0% |
December 31 is favored at 10.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 10¢ | 10.5% | -1.5 pts | $39.1K | 31.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 12¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$122.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,652 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 1,652 | $173 |
| Tattered-Tankful | No | 1,266 | $1.1K |
| Plastic-Larder | No | 1,240 | $1.1K |
| Victorious-Restaurant | No | 348 | $311 |
| Mundane-Hood | Yes | 300 | $32 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 247 | $26 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 210 | $22 |
| Tasty-Hatbox-Guilt | No | 189 | $169 |
| Agile-Error | No | 163 | $146 |
| Buzzing-Profession | Yes | 150 | $16 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 08:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 07:15 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 02:18 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 04:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 01:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 06:20 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.1% | $73 |
| Oct 18, 09:51 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $8 |
| Oct 17, 03:01 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 01:55 AM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $50 |
| Oct 14, 12:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $502 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 10.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-north-and-south-korea-engage-in-direct-talks-by-2027?via=bro
$122.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 10.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.