As of October 24, 2026, 08:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 31.5% in Will Nous Research launch a token by ___? — $16.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 31.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: -1.0 pts; past month: +16.0 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 14.0% and 54.5%. It opened at 38.0% and last traded at 31.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 31.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 31.0% |
June 30, 2027 is favored at 31.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 32¢ | 31.5% | -1.5 pts | $2.7K | 16.0% |
| September 30, 2027 | 26¢ | 26.5% | -0.5 pts | $5.0K | 29.6% |
| December 31, 2027 | 26¢ | 25.5% | +1.0 pts | $5.0K | 29.3% |
| March 31, 2027 | 24¢ | 23.5% | — | $237 | 1.4% |
| December 31, 2026 | 8¢ | 8.0% | +0.5 pts | $1.1K | 6.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 17¢ (bid 23¢ / ask 40¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$16.9K has been traded on this event in total, $10 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nous Research officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Nous Research will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Nous Research (https://x.com/NousResearch), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://x.com/NousResearch
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 252 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 252 | $79 |
| Prudent-Realization-Farrow | No | 120 | $82 |
| Dependent-Objective | No | 90 | $62 |
| 0x2d48c834… | Yes | 75 | $24 |
| Known-Use | No | 60 | $41 |
| Creamy-Geology | No | 60 | $41 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 59 | $19 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 57 | $18 |
| Speedy-Bartender | No | 50 | $34 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 30 | $21 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 05:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 06:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 34.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 06:02 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 40.0% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 05:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $14 |
| Oct 15, 03:08 AM ET | No | SELL | 77.0% | $46 |
| Oct 15, 03:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $7 |
| Oct 15, 03:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 23.0% | $7 |
| Oct 15, 03:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $49 |
| Oct 09, 02:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 31.5%. Next is September 30, 2027 at 26.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nous-research-launch-a-token-by?via=bro
$16.9K in total volume, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/NousResearch.
June 30, 2027, priced at 31.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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