As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 4.9% in Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by...? — $14.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 4.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.3 pts; past week: +0.2 pts; past month: -17.2 pts.
Since July 23, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 3.0% and 39.0%. It opened at 14.5% and last traded at 4.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 4.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 3.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 3.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 3.9% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 3.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 4.5% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 4.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 5¢ | 4.9% | +1.3 pts | $6.8K | 48.2% |
| November 30, 2026 | 4¢ | 3.9% | +0.6 pts | $342 | 2.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 5¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$14.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Novak Djokovic officially announces his retirement from ATP Tour professional tennis by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Novak Djokovic is retiring or indefinitely departing from ATP Tour professional tennis with intention of not participating in any event that contributes to an ATP ranking. The announcement must come from Novak Djokovic or official representatives thereof. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure from professional competition intended to be effective within 12 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave competition in 2 years," nor "I will not play forever," would qualify). If Djokovic retires in a qualifying manner but maintains, renews, or announces his intention to participate in the Olympics, that retirement will still qualify. Olympic participation, or participation in a tennis competition which does not contribute to an ATP ranking, will have no bearing on this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the named individual or authorized representatives thereof.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 625 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unique-Primary | Yes | 625 | $30 |
| Whimsical-Seller | No | 534 | $509 |
| Crooked-Building | No | 400 | $381 |
| Beloved-Statue-Myth | No | 259 | $246 |
| Pleasing-Elm | Yes | 230 | $11 |
| Trivial-Idea | No | 200 | $190 |
| Visible-Scenery | Yes | 191 | $9 |
| Cooked-Independent | No | 164 | $156 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 162 | $8 |
| Digital-Basket | Yes | 122 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.1% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 09:50 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.9% | $15 |
| Oct 23, 09:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 94.9% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 09:36 PM ET | No | SELL | 94.9% | $237 |
| Oct 22, 01:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.4% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 03:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.0% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 12:05 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.1% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 02:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $4 |
| Oct 18, 02:27 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.7% | $10 |
| Oct 18, 02:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 4.9%. Next is November 30, 2026 at 3.9%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-novak-djokovic-announce-his-retirement-byptptpt-20260722162440703?via=bro
$14.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 4.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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