As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 74.5% in Will Novak Djokovic play a match at the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals? — $157 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 74.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -24.4 pts.
Since October 06, 2026, No has traded between 26.5% and 74.5%. It opened at 26.5% and last traded at 50.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 54.4% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.0% |
No is favored at 74.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 74¢ | 74.5% | +24.4 pts | $157 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 26¢ | 25.6% | -24.4 pts | $157 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 49¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 50¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$157 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 06, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Novak Djokovic plays in at least one singles match at the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any singles match in the round-robin stage, the semifinals, or the final will qualify, including a match played as an alternate. A match counts once its first point has been played, even if Djokovic later retires from it. Walkovers, exhibition matches, practice sessions, and doubles matches will not count. If Djokovic has not played a qualifying match by the end of the tournament, or if the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals are canceled or postponed after December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (https://www.atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 100 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pertinent-Charlatan | Yes | 100 | $26 |
| Scarce-Molding | No | 100 | $74 |
| 0xabe782ad… | Yes | 47 | $12 |
| Sore-Role | No | 47 | $35 |
| Dutiful-Parsnip | Yes | 10 | $3 |
| Buzzing-Alphabet | No | 10 | $7 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 06:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 2.2% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 02:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $51 |
| Oct 06, 12:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 74.5%. Next is Yes at 25.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-novak-djokovic-play-a-match-at-the-2026-nitto-atp-finals?via=bro
$157 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 06, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.atptour.com.
No, priced at 74.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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